Fat Lady Dress Rehearsal Report
Clinton vows to stay in race “until there’s a nominee.”
Which apparently will be in about two weeks.
“Not long after the polls close in the May 20 Kentucky and Oregon primaries, Barack Obama plans to declare victory in his bid for the Democratic presidential nomination.
“And, until at least May 31 and perhaps longer, Hillary Clinton’s campaign plans to dispute it.
“It’s a train wreck waiting to happen, with one candidate claiming to be the nominee while the other vigorously denies it, all predicated on an argument over what exactly constitutes the finish line of the primary race.”
Democracy is a great thing, and generally that’s that’s what we participate in when selecting a nominee for a major political party. However, by now even those who didn’t pay attention to your social studies teachers understand that the primaries are only an exercise in representative democracy in a pro forma way.
What with “Super Delegates,” rules made and broken behind closed doors, campaign finance laws thwarted, “street money,” and the inordinate influence of the corporate media, you can’t miss the fact that there’s a lot more afoot than simply one-person, one-vote.
And that’s okay. It’s all good because it all moves towards something more important that which candidate “wins.” It builds a consensus.
As in most things in America, it starts and ends with money. It takes millions to even get a foothold in the early primary states, and the first major contest that the media reports on is months before any straw polls are taken. The end of the first quarter financial reporting deadline is examined with a fine tooth comb — even to the point of documenting just how much a candidate spends on combing his or her hair — much to John Edwards chagrin.
Until we found out about $400 hair cuts, we also assumed that Hillary Clinton had an enormous if not insurmountable advantage in cash, especially since she was able to transfer millions from her Senate campaign to her presidential run. But when the numbers came out the narrative changed when Obama proved what a formidable fund-raiser he was.
The chattering class chattered, the donors took note, the Clinton machine was vulnerable! At this point many of the super delegates who weren’t with Hillary from the start froze and we all watched the back and forth as momentum built for Obama. He won Iowa, Hillary a distant third, and the chattering class chattered about momentum and polls that would crown a new inevitability in New Hampshire.
And they were wrong, and they were burned, and the supers remained frozen, and the battle was on because the people hadn’t made up their minds. Burned once, the media discounted Obama’s huge South Carolina win. Looking for trends, examining demographics in exit polls for an explanation, not trusting conventional or unconventional wisdom and astonished at how evenly matched the talking heads sounded to each other when they talked to themselves, they froze.
The supers hid, the money flowed, and after Tsunami Tuesday, with only a slight lead in states won and delegates awarded, nobody was ready to come close to declaring an advantage even though half the nation had spoken. By then both Obama and McCain had only won two more states than their second-place rivals. But where Obama only edged Clinton out by 12 delegates that day, McCain claimed 401 more delegates in a Party that only has about half as many at stake as the Democrats select via popular vote. (Oh yeah, they have super delegates too.)
Then as now, with Obama’s win-streak prior to their tie in Texas and Hillary’s win in Ohio — a win big enough to freeze the narrative once again about anything being “clear” although even then Obama’s lead was formidable enough that we knew she needed a miracle — there was no consensus among Democrats who we would (or should) get behind.
“Winning” the primaries does not equate to a winning candidate in the fall. A united party is what it takes. If it were simply just about winning and not building a consensus, conventions would still be free-for-alls and not marketing devices. Stage one was the media declaring a victor, giving the supers cover upon coming out even if deciding against the indications of their own constituents.
Now, with more undeclared super delegates than pledged delegates at stake in the coming weeks, the dog and pony shows staged for the benefit of us riff-raff who’s only power is our vote, is over. The democratic nomination now lies in the hands of those who always controlled things — the media (who made up their minds as soon as their Grand Poobah Tim Russert declared Obama a winner), the politicians and the big money folks who are as influential as ever.
The party leaders’ new roll, including all of the winning and losing candidates, is to form a narrative that will rally us around the winner and bring the losers back into the fold, to wean the media off the horse-race coverage to a more thematic story before they go back to covering this fall’s horse race.
For the rest of us, much as you may hate the process that is so far removed from what they taught you about in grammar school, opting out is not an option.
[You can read more of Mark Adams’ work at his blog, Dispassionate Liberal]
- Original article
- FILED UNDER: Guest Blogger
- May 8, 2008








Obama's Delegate Count in the Democratic Primary Race...
...actually shows him as a weak candidate - not a strong one - in the November general election.
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By SheddMay 8, 2008 - 4:39pmBy Shedd May 8, 2008 - 4:39pm
Gee...isn't that what the drug addict just started saying? They reported this on the news last night that Rush had switched gears.
He must be so proud of dittoheads like you.
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By roadgoddessMay 8, 2008 - 4:47pmWhat Can I Say...
...Except that great minds think alike, since I came up with the issue of Obama's inherent electoral weakness before hearing (as I did just now in your post) that Rush also raised the issue. So much for your baseless "dittohead" claim.
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By SheddMay 8, 2008 - 5:13pmBy SheddMay 8, 2008 - 5:03pm
Sure you did, skeety-poo. You've never had an original thought in your life.
Support the Troops
End the Occupation
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By Guy FawkesMay 8, 2008 - 5:15pmThat's Not True...
...and here's the proof that I have original ideas, like this one: How about nominating you as Al Qaeda's MVP for 2008! Well, whattya think?
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By SheddMay 8, 2008 - 5:22pmOogly oogly oobly
It's like sticking out your tongue and yelling "oogly oogly oogly." Just because no one has ever done it doesn't mean that it's a worthwhile or creative idea.
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By MichtouMay 8, 2008 - 7:45pmSheddy sticks out his tongue a lot!
Every time Gayvid Whore-o-bitch drops his pants.
You don't have to burn books to destroy a culture. Just get people to stop reading them.
---Ray Bradbury
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By LiberalIconoclastMay 8, 2008 - 7:54pmBy MichtouMay 8, 2008 - 7:45pm
Now that's maturity!
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By FACTMEMay 9, 2008 - 1:45amBy Shedd May 8, 2008 - 5:13pm
Dittohead said what?
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By roadgoddessMay 8, 2008 - 6:13pmPoor little SmegHedd...
Your crusade to close down the colleges has come to a pile of shit. Whuzzamattah, little boy? Nothing new to fight for? I'm playing my fuckin' violin for ya. Hear it? It's very SMALL...like your stubby little pecker.
You don't have to burn books to destroy a culture. Just get people to stop reading them.
---Ray Bradbury
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By LiberalIconoclastMay 8, 2008 - 4:57pmWorking At a College...
...as you do, probably allows you to fulfill two roles. The first role is to do what you call "teaching," which clear-thinking people know to be indoctrinating. Your second role is to provide the college's natural history department with a very primitive form of the last living neanderthal (a true knuckle-dragger) that it can study.
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By SheddMay 8, 2008 - 5:03pmBy SheddMay 8, 2008 - 5:03pm
Watching you try to be clever is like watching Dumbya try to form a coherent sentence. It never works & it's actually quite a sad spectacle to behold.
Support the Troops
End the Occupation
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By Guy FawkesMay 8, 2008 - 5:12pm"Clear thinking?"
Therein lies the heart of your illogic. Your masters have redefined education and indoctrination. If I were "indoctrinating" students with Rushturds, you'd want to make me Teacher of the Year!
Face it, loser. No one except the far right, gives a rat's ass what the far right says anymore. And I just fuckin' LOVE it! I can't wait to hear you cry like a little fag when your Great Crusade tumbles down all over you.
You don't have to burn books to destroy a culture. Just get people to stop reading them.
---Ray Bradbury
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By LiberalIconoclastMay 8, 2008 - 5:31pmActually I've seen several references
That indicate the republicans are worried about running against Obama.
This is more right wing banter from Rush that skeet is throwing around.
I also saw that a memo went out to republicans in congressional races saying "you're on your own." There isn't enough money coming into the republican party to go around.
republican is a bad brand right now.
Actually you would think the party would just give up on McCain and try to keep seats in the congress. But that would be smart and republicans aren't known for that.
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By f u bush2May 8, 2008 - 5:34pmVery true
The G0P used exactly that strategy in 96, leaving Viagra Bob twisting in the wind and throwing all their money and mud at the Congressional races. Even if Grumpy does steal this one, he'll be lamer than a double-amputee duck.
You don't have to burn books to destroy a culture. Just get people to stop reading them.
---Ray Bradbury
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By LiberalIconoclastMay 8, 2008 - 6:00pmfunding the races
This is where the 50 state strategy and Obama's strong showing in the south come in. they will be spending money ti places they used to call safe just to cut their losses. Dem challengers in suburbs of Atlanta and Raleigh and in cities like Mobile and Tampa will ride Obama's coattails even in states that don't go Blue.
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By gt6May 8, 2008 - 6:36pmNow if only...
...if only my district would grow a pair and get rid of Darrell "Grand Theft Auto" Issa this November.
You don't have to burn books to destroy a culture. Just get people to stop reading them.
---Ray Bradbury
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By LiberalIconoclastMay 8, 2008 - 6:43pmWeren't You...
...Formerly, a um..."teaching" at a college in Pennsylvania? If so, what are doing in the San Diego area?
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By SheddMay 8, 2008 - 8:25pmIdiot
I have never been to Pennsylvania. I've lived my entire life in SoCal and taught here since 1997. Typical republicunt tactic. Innuendos, then try and make it sound like I've done something wrong. Fuck off, Sissy Boy.
You don't have to burn books to destroy a culture. Just get people to stop reading them.
---Ray Bradbury
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By LiberalIconoclastMay 8, 2008 - 9:00pmShedd, As much as I hate to come to the defense of Libby,
I think you're confusing he and I. I went to college in Pennsylvania. And I've never heard libby speak of being or, teaching in Penn. Ok, now I need a shower.
When you men get home and face an anti-war protestor, look him in the eyes and shake his hand. Then, wink at his girlfriend because she knows she’s dating a pussy… ~ Attributed to General Tommy Franks
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By IlluminatiHottieMay 8, 2008 - 9:36pmCareful there, my supply-side siren...
Sheddy might want to join you! Wouldn't want the appearance of immorality on THIS blog! Best leave such things to that paragon of Family Values, Vito "I'm Not In The Mob" Fossella (R-NY)
You don't have to burn books to destroy a culture. Just get people to stop reading them.
---Ray Bradbury
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By LiberalIconoclastMay 8, 2008 - 9:47pmre: By IlluminatiHottie May 8, 2008 - 9:36pm
"Ok, now I need a shower."
Don't bother. Nothing will wash away that Republistench that permeates from your pores.
♪ ♫ ♪ ♫ ♪
"Three great forces rule the world: stupidity, fear and greed." -- Albert Einstein
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By GazmikMay 8, 2008 - 10:16pmOh please, both of your
Oh please, both of your candidates are junior senators with very little experience. With Bush's popularity where it's at the democrats should be up by 25 points in every poll against McCain, they all have them pretty much tied. If the democrats were smart they would have picked a candidate that could have pretty much walked into the White House, if they were smart that is.
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By bannedfroggMay 8, 2008 - 6:09pmResponse to illegal amphibian
And you're candidate is Mr. Magoo. What's your point?
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By f u bush2May 8, 2008 - 9:04pmSounds like it's time for
Sounds like it's time for Clinton's plan B, sabotage Obama in order to ensure McCain's victory and start planning for 2012. Do not doubt that it will happen.
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By bannedfroggMay 8, 2008 - 6:04pmPlunk your magic twanger, Froggy!
This is new news?
You don't have to burn books to destroy a culture. Just get people to stop reading them.
---Ray Bradbury
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By LiberalIconoclastMay 8, 2008 - 6:11pmGood
Hillary's gone. Maybe now we can have a discussion about the real culprits in this mess. The Republican party. They had control of the WH, Congress and Senate for the majority of his term.
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By CandymarlMay 8, 2008 - 6:50pmNope because
eight years in the WH and constant investigations by Republicans taught Hillary nothing about DC. She's been in the political arena, at the local, state, and federal level in some capacity for 35 years. But what would she know about government and how it works at all levels? See I'm a vet. What the heck would I know about the military. That's why recruits out of basic training, not experienced NCOs, should be leading the troops. Yup.
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By CandymarlMay 8, 2008 - 6:58pmre: By Candymarl May 8, 2008 - 6:58pm
And her time on the Board of Directors of Wal-Mart makes her even more qualified. And she did such a wonderful job shilling for her hubby on NAFTA.
♪ ♫ ♪ ♫ ♪
"Three great forces rule the world: stupidity, fear and greed." -- Albert Einstein
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By GazmikMay 8, 2008 - 7:15pmBy GazmikMay 8, 2008 - 7:15pm
Yeah! And she was shot at in Bosnia.
And Bill Clinton had 2% job approval rating when he left office.
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By FACTMEMay 9, 2008 - 1:41amUmmm...wrong.
Please support your assertions with citations. The FACTS all claim you're lying.
Me, I trust the FACTS over you.
If all else fails, immortality can always be assured by spectacular error. ~~~John Kenneth Galbraith
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By nonexistent manMay 9, 2008 - 5:44amHey, I know a woman that's
Hey, I know a woman that's married to a surgeon, care to let her operate on you? After all, she's been in the medical arena (in some capacity) for years.
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By bannedfroggMay 8, 2008 - 8:00pmBy bannedfrogg May 8, 2008 - 8:00pm
Sounds like fun. Where is she?
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By f u bush2May 8, 2008 - 8:59pmBefore she set foot in the Whitehouse
Hillary was more qualified for the job than GWB will ever be.
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By gt6May 8, 2008 - 10:46pmBy bannedfroggMay 8, 2008 - 8:00pm
At least she's been in the arena of medicine for years.
But what your anology says is you'd let the custodian who just started a job in the barber shop next door operate on you.
Don't you see how silly your analogy is?
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By FACTMEMay 9, 2008 - 1:29amTo be honest
When my wife was my receptionist, she gave great advice to my divorcing clients, advice I would never give, couldn't give, but needed to be said.
I'm Just Saying.
You don't need to know how to make a nuclear bomb to order it dropped or know the effects. The question is who will be least likely to put us in a position where dropping the bomb somewhere might seem like a good idea. At all cost we gotta keep McSame away from the button and bury his neocon buddies on the trash-heap of failed ideology, like fascism, communism and feudalism.
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By Mark W AdamsMay 8, 2008 - 8:59pmWanted:Some Backbone Among the Democrats
I hope that we don't see a typical Democrat-style missed opportunity: Someone HAS TO have the backbone to tell Sen. Clinton that all good things come to an end...even for the Clintons.
Democrats are known for backsliding, buckling -under and caving-in at very crucial moments in American history; to wit, the invasion of Iraq.
If we allow this primary contest to come to an end entirely on Sen. Clinton's terms, we'll have a fall train wreck indeed.
Democrats----do your duty and shut her down. The race is over, and it's looking more and more like her bunker mentality will bring great harm to Sen. Obama and the Democratic party.
Queen Lear........exit stage right;curtain. Applause.
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By tyrdofwaitinMay 8, 2008 - 8:59pmDemocrats----do your duty
Democrats----do your duty and shut her down
We'll shut her down after she wins the Presidential nomination.
No one can bring great harm to Obama that he doesn't already have on deck.
Did he ever repay his 2005 taxes? There is some evidence out there that it's still missing in action.
Did he remember that he actually filled in a form wit his own handwriting that he now claims he didn't?
Have you been keeping score of ALL his lies to date?
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By FACTMEMay 9, 2008 - 1:24amOh?
We'll shut her down after she wins the Presidential nomination.
So after 2016 you'll shut her down? Fair enough. But NOW is the time to do what's right for the Democratic Party, and the United States, and step aside for the better candidate: Obama.
Don't worry, in eight years she'll have her shot.
If all else fails, immortality can always be assured by spectacular error. ~~~John Kenneth Galbraith
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By nonexistent manMay 9, 2008 - 7:57amOn May 7th John McCain said this:
LOL
Sounds nice. Anyone know what is so funny about that?
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By f u bush2May 8, 2008 - 9:11pmGrumpy McShitpants' Final Solution...
"Haha, Magoo...you've done it again!"
You don't have to burn books to destroy a culture. Just get people to stop reading them.
---Ray Bradbury
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By LiberalIconoclastMay 8, 2008 - 9:20pmWhats this I hear about one
Whats this I hear about one of liberals best and prominent radio hosts?
.
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By DustMay 8, 2008 - 10:16pmBy DustMay 8, 2008 - 10:16pm
Bernie Ward, the ex-priest?
No surprise there.
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By f u bush2May 8, 2008 - 10:42pmWho
Never heard of him.
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By Mark W AdamsMay 8, 2008 - 10:52pmBy Dust May 8, 2008 - 10:16pm
Never heard of him. But he needs to be locked up! I hate pedophiles!
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By roadgoddessMay 8, 2008 - 10:58pmWhat's the over/under on Obama passing Hillary's lead...
in superdelegates?
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By ExpatinEUMay 9, 2008 - 2:45am